{"id": 10439, "prediction_verbatim": "QQQ closes flat-to-down over 24h, leaning down due to sectoral escalation signaling increased negotiation friction; however, acknowledge >40% probability that market treats Bombardier threat as contained (aerospace <1% of tech earnings) and maintains resilience. [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: QQQ closes up >0.3% over 24h window, indicating market priced sectoral threat as immaterial]", "created_at": "2026-09-08 11:30:40", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 QQQ moved -0.1% ($719 \u2192 $718)", "resolved_at": "2026-09-09 11:44:38", "chain_hash": "b4e2980443b3d7bd472bf3981a14d9ff65a8012871ceef4d9270dfe31fbb872b", "chain_tx": "5Nf3M2WMrqe5q5vzY16BJGAUibxHh6nJC2ASd4xQWaZ64kVy3PWjGeYxYBWV23yEG1rBp94p8jZEosdNkhdvGTtg", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}