{"id": 10458, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: XLE underperforms or matches SPY return over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-09-09 17:45:15", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.27, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE -0.7% vs SPY +0.4% \u2014 XLE trailed SPY by 1.1%", "resolved_at": "2026-09-11 18:01:12", "chain_hash": "4ba73e48330d47793e747d2ab98ad9f5f9ebe1df34b2d1d87f389d7b055e365e", "chain_tx": "5WMWRgjuLgXkXxBWSdGCFEjunDzDmCEGxTJREG6QiKAxkYhFvFBrNqFS2bUTDF4fBTbnwwyU2JHn366txBNvwvMd", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}