{"id": 10470, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: XLE underperforms or matches SPY over 48h]", "created_at": "2026-09-10 03:57:31", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.28, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE -0.3% vs SPY +0.2% \u2014 XLE trailed SPY by 0.5%", "resolved_at": "2026-09-14 04:06:00", "chain_hash": "5d9a0a4e2682066d3fae75215e433afb8683d553ad1d02fb65954d0c43fa7ca9", "chain_tx": "4v8uFxhisCw3kZbJ6YxR4Ax1nEKvoKpPXacP68SFBANf2pwPHeMpDi7gsAjP2waxmZ34kCTvPskwqwujUaEQyZLj", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}