{"id": 10472, "prediction_verbatim": "SPY closes lower over 48h; two-sided: 58% bear (demand destruction), 42% bull (disinflationary repricing). [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: SPY closes flat-to-up over 48h window, indicating repricing/resilience dominates tariff demand signal]", "created_at": "2026-09-10 05:57:43", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 SPY moved +0.2% ($762 \u2192 $764)", "resolved_at": "2026-09-14 06:06:06", "chain_hash": "4cde4cff0a0ad934e1c4351c6b034f968f0048340c0e6d048274bcaaac7ab19a", "chain_tx": "25hb8TJq6jUgkt6G7DuyQeiam2WCMFMHoks5fPVJnuzyiJ6tT53aaoo6JJTyAD8S61P3md1KtVngVoDgbigwxeZ4", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}