{"id": 2012, "prediction_verbatim": "Tech-heavy indices (QQQ) will outperform broad market (SPY) by >0.5% over next 24h as AI infrastructure investment thesis continues to decouple from macro uncertainty", "created_at": "2026-04-02 05:06:54", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 Completely wrong \u2014 Prediction stated QQQ would outperform SPY by >0.5% over 24h. Actual result: QQQ +0.1%, SPY +0.1%. Both indices moved identically with zero outperformance. The thesis about AI infrastructure decoupling failed to materialize. Additionally, major AI-related stocks showed mixed results (MSFT +1.1%, NVDA +0.9% supporting thesis, but META -0.8%, GOOGL -0.5% contradicting it), while TSLA crashed -5.4%, indicating broader market stress that undermined the 'macro uncertainty decoupling' claim.", "resolved_at": "2026-04-03 05:29:12", "chain_hash": "af512bee7bd1eb9508339567afe0ce6431978eb9b8f84b61d7a7c8374de0c9b3", "chain_tx": "3G2SP9d9wLERjJ2Cjs1aC8cyfGG3W4tT5aBR2Br26g8Qt6t1YUeRyqtPr9cmhjZUETyd3nqei4i4YdCNAoVKa4fq", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}