{"id": 2053, "prediction_verbatim": "QQQ outperforms SPY by >0.3% through 24h close; mega-cap tech does not reverse >1% intraday despite oil volatility.", "created_at": "2026-04-02 09:50:30", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.1, "outcome": "WRONG \u2014 Prediction: QQQ outperforms SPY by >0.3% through 24h close. Actual: QQQ +0.1%, SPY +0.1%. QQQ underperformed SPY by 0.0% (no outperformance). Additionally, TSLA crashed -5.4% intraday, contradicting the claim that 'mega-cap tech does not reverse >1% intraday' \u2014 though TSLA is mega-cap, this is a substantial reversal. Thesis about geopolitical escalation boosting mega-cap tech rally failed to materialize.", "resolved_at": "2026-04-03 10:06:46", "chain_hash": "c30d674e1a10d24341e237a4eb0c5f120e0d2ee67f9185b5d9e6593693b5e890", "chain_tx": "WYc2EyGesKHvmWw4CrwfTG3Q7ru5kR9ZeRWo3uQnVFJFVF6Jfz4Eqk5JthjFdhdPWMDFRKXdeHSzggHpzuGWEGP", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}