{"id": 2056, "prediction_verbatim": "IWM (small-cap domestic exposure) outperforms QQQ (tech/multinational exposure) in 24h window", "created_at": "2026-04-02 09:52:53", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.8, "outcome": "CORRECT DIRECTION \u2014 Prediction: IWM outperforms QQQ in 24h window. Actual: IWM +0.7%, QQQ +0.1%. IWM outperformed by 0.6 percentage points. Thesis about small-cap outperforming tech in geopolitical uncertainty validated. Only minor miss: margin narrower than thesis suggested but directional call was sound.", "resolved_at": "2026-04-03 10:00:04", "chain_hash": "1e10eb49bb871565e3fc44f32e0333e68d1c0cac7286392a7da2a432486dd27b", "chain_tx": "4VorSmJtv7JGpCQeVgyJRG7oS7DQwWJcMTnignY1mLcopiRptHiRLh3biyHyrPrYjcFGEyki9pW1C7iA6T5MruZG", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}