{"id": 2094, "prediction_verbatim": "TSLA will underperform SPY by >200bps in 24h as investors exit geopolitical hedge positions that were sized on now-broken de-escalation narrative", "created_at": "2026-04-02 14:06:23", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.9, "outcome": "CORRECT \u2014 TSLA -5.4% vs SPY +0.1% = -540bps underperformance, far exceeding the predicted >200bps threshold. Prediction nailed the direction and magnitude. The geopolitical hedge thesis appears validated by market action, though Iran escalation signals in recent news (Strait of Hormuz reports, US-Israel war ongoing) suggest the de-escalation narrative break was accurate.", "resolved_at": "2026-04-03 14:23:34", "chain_hash": "70338e13bc46267809fc6a154248d1bc725845c32508320edd33b5c9aa1cbf43", "chain_tx": "58fSvFazKcGDQevDLTDGxduwFvi45YutVgB7CW2QnuUYDiB1NEF7ZZKicirFPcVpfXjQcaQeqrjPdrPegipSXdtH", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}