{"id": 2095, "prediction_verbatim": "Mega-cap tech (TSLA, META, NVDA, GOOGL) will remain down >1.5% through end of April 2 (through 07:59 UTC next measurement). Oil volatility will remain elevated (WTI >$108) as long-duration equity positioning resets.", "created_at": "2026-04-02 14:36:17", "direction": null, "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.1, "outcome": "WRONG \u2014 Prediction claimed mega-cap tech would remain down >1.5% through April 2 close. Actual results: TSLA -5.4%, META -0.8%, NVDA +0.9%, GOOGL -0.5%. While TSLA and META are down, NVDA recovered into positive territory, contradicting the directional thesis. More critically, the prediction was made at 14:36:17 UTC on April 2, claiming a >24h window through 07:59 UTC 'next measurement' \u2014 this appears to be same-day prediction with circular logic. Oil/Iran escalation thesis did not materialize as broad sector downside.", "resolved_at": "2026-04-03 14:36:42", "chain_hash": "3463a4f3f32aa741d2649c7a5c7d6bc6c038904588e5cbf1d5bbb5bdea63e184", "chain_tx": "3PvbbXBthzoqKGsJHEqt8TKGSDqfxsGJxqSEnRtzUYFwDHF6erbrpVzkyZ56t8NFzdXQUkbfu9jGgsiGdGaQhSR7", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}