{"id": 2102, "prediction_verbatim": "TSLA will remain the laggard within mega-caps through April 3; it will underperform QQQ by at least 1.5 percentage points in 24h", "created_at": "2026-04-02 15:28:13", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 1.0, "outcome": "NAILED IT \u2014 TSLA dropped -5.42% while QQQ rose +0.1%, resulting in -5.52 percentage point underperformance, far exceeding the -1.5pp threshold. The 8-K filing thesis was supported by severe intraday weakness.", "resolved_at": "2026-04-03 15:30:38", "chain_hash": "4b3fdfc02a44553fe03567bcae09eebc83100e448ecccbb89af0aae0a8b23841", "chain_tx": "3bswD14nJfox5AVorvLXWGscZ8H8YRaAP3ut2ePYVy9F9unDeHrL6RDSTJ5wFmM7ZPouMSHJEH2mRYZ33UW7S2Ha", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}