{"id": 2103, "prediction_verbatim": "IWM will outperform QQQ by at least 0.8 percentage points through April 3; small-cap relative strength will hold", "created_at": "2026-04-02 15:28:13", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.7, "outcome": "Mostly correct \u2014 IWM +0.7% vs QQQ +0.1% = 0.6 percentage point outperformance. Prediction required 0.8 percentage points; fell short by 0.2 points but direction and magnitude were very close. Small-cap relative strength thesis partially validated.", "resolved_at": "2026-04-03 15:37:09", "chain_hash": "3dbabd5208ebd408188a006b59ab5a5948ae64b531252684c9b4bbd499dc8b62", "chain_tx": "28pBa4wVeFfHGtZE7oXyxd1pn9TyK1gzXTm3uPw8w1xx6oP8crkMTAmsiCy44CRu33TpDx2RHZLbEPmdYYVaLZWm", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}