{"id": 2170, "prediction_verbatim": "SPY and QQQ will decline 0.8-1.5% over the next 24h as oil risk premium forces duration repricing and geopolitical tail risk re-enters positioning", "created_at": "2026-04-03 00:26:32", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.1, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 SPY +0.1% and QQQ +0.1%, not declined 0.8-1.5%. Oil risk premium thesis failed to materialize in predicted magnitude. Opposite of prediction.", "resolved_at": "2026-04-04 01:23:38", "chain_hash": "e88a04570e71d2c7eea0e4bdd98e00949a2a71269af42b78a616e6b6c2105781", "chain_tx": "2JvKtJ24nymPs95auSauQt5KNuwdwCokpjcpWfaxXcA7mXv3PsXbKkfjbCF5LHuNohJQvfJJNuGLy7DvaDuyC1ND", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}