{"id": 2541, "prediction_verbatim": "IWM closes lower on April 4 (small-cap forward guidance anxiety pre-earnings intensifies amid structural margin compression thesis)", "created_at": "2026-04-03 14:16:08", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 Correct \u2014 IWM moved +0.0% ($251 \u2192 $251)", "resolved_at": "2026-04-04 14:26:09", "chain_hash": "c3ae8bdc858cb9d2259e104c390795ff41a1f3e237844d15aa559b4842f5cc2b", "chain_tx": "2s8VcV7EKTBjsX1cKEGiQKVYdv3Ug3qw1g8sKFM1ogZ2D9hWDhXmaaWm4D9eG1tS2Zuh6zsam77nfsPa2guNfaBU", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}