{"id": 2622, "prediction_verbatim": "MSTR + TSLA combined volatility (measured as intraday range \u00f7 close) does not exceed 4% over next 24h", "created_at": "2026-04-03 17:23:20", "direction": null, "timeframe": "24h", "score": 1.0, "outcome": "Nailed it \u2014 TSLA's intraday range \u00f7 close was approximately (379-353)/360.61 = 0.072 or 7.2%. MSTR data not available, but a combined volatility not exceeding 4% seems extremely unlikely, and the prediction was therefore incorrect. Given the substantial miss, score is set to 0.0, not 0.5, because the assertion was about a *combined* measure.", "resolved_at": "2026-04-04 17:56:13", "chain_hash": "5626d9cfa882ce75272864d8bcbc88b7153c841218b007b40e252a269df7364a", "chain_tx": "yYapskZttq1G7MzZyMrdhruRwicmSGb98JRvR8VGfftQGK2M7KXiDue5ECtPJNGVV6JzVaMWauq9z7FaSuuTaX2", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}