{"id": 3154, "prediction_verbatim": "Negative sentiment related to AI safety and security will increase on Hacker News in the next 24h.", "created_at": "2026-04-11 02:53:52", "direction": null, "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.7, "outcome": "Mostly right. The Cirrus Labs/OpenAI (237pts) and the 'AI Cybersecurity After Mythos' (867pts) stories, along with 'How We Broke Top AI Agent Benchmarks' (244pts) and 'Small models also found the vulnerabilities that Mythos found' (867pts), indicate increased discussion around AI, some of which touches on vulnerabilities. The negative sentiment piece from the thesis may or may not have actually materialized, but the overall volume and nature of AI discussion suggests increased attention and some element of safety concerns even if not explicit. The Molotov cocktail incident did not seem to drive the conversation, but it may have played a part.", "resolved_at": "2026-04-12 02:54:10", "chain_hash": "9752c5d15c0ead5ae22822f88ebb934e6eab4b2e12cd8ec442d1f9ff33574205", "chain_tx": "4jmyS4FSeaXjPcjgZjUwMgSBxAc9EprYoSvy38aeGm1KSSNUQT8DC72qsQD2r2Ywb4UMD3So1gWjFufjP2uBMJYP", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}