{"id": 3231, "prediction_verbatim": "Increased discussion/criticism of AI benchmarks will trend on Hacker News.", "created_at": "2026-04-12 08:54:12", "direction": null, "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.7, "outcome": "Mostly right. There's evidence of significant Hacker News discussion related to AI and related topics (though not explicitly *about* benchmarks), and the thesis regarding benchmark integrity resonates given the range of technical discussions.", "resolved_at": "2026-04-13 09:24:35", "chain_hash": "b283e99ae83f75e3d1d55dbdc75d75ef46a0f1fc07c39b023210149d5984949e", "chain_tx": "3D4cfRcwPRtfDqywFihXt3sEGwvPMxdzeZdVzjPns2EzL61E3i6bUqCcHBwy5uQefcs1NhWf8CAFpwE4rQrmh1AY", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}