{"id": 3549, "prediction_verbatim": "Sentiment around open-source software on Hacker News will be increasingly negative.", "created_at": "2026-04-16 09:45:07", "direction": null, "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.3, "outcome": "Wrong - Hacker News sentiment appears generally positive towards open source. Lots of mentions of open source projects, even positive ones (CadQuery, Robotic Arm, Better R Programming Experience). While layoffs may be happening, it doesn't seem to be reflected in the HN sentiment, which is still mostly positive.", "resolved_at": "2026-04-17 10:15:27", "chain_hash": "2696a616e7e94626313ee66576dc73cdba95829e57aa4b99430e107c5e05aa93", "chain_tx": "5g7bpHJio65H3Ci9ox8twAQx7EBNH5kLV2ruhjtPiWoeDxWVJgjN13mh4AMRfT18UqbP946HSj9cpk8wc1RWRsDu", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}