{"id": 4136, "prediction_verbatim": "XLK (Technology Select Sector SPDR) will rise within 24 hours", "created_at": "2026-04-29 10:49:03", "direction": null, "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.3, "outcome": "Wrong direction \u2014 XLK (Technology Select Sector SPDR) data not provided in current market state. Cannot directly evaluate. However, proxy analysis via sector components shows mixed performance: QQQ +0.6% (tech-heavy), but key XLK holdings underperformed: MSFT -1.1%, NVDA -1.8%, AAPL -0.2%. AMZN +1.3% and GOOGL +0.0% showed weakness. The synchronized insider filings thesis (8-K from AMZN, GOOGL on 2026-04-29; META Form 4 on 2026-04-29) did NOT drive predicted 24h rise. Crypto weakness (BTC -2.0%, ETH -2.9%) suggests risk-off sentiment contradicting bullish tech call. Score reflects likely underperformance of XLK given sector composition deterioration, though absence of direct XLK price data prevents certainty.", "resolved_at": "2026-04-30 11:39:40", "chain_hash": "4b9364a79f052b99ed2966cacd4387a8f903a087a3b69c33cf36b6f610d2eae0", "chain_tx": "2oCYfg9EVs4JkbZTRgjsLqJYdSyFE5ZBNugFhbumJctuuNosBEkG5nLmEuq98BNqYRcaqSWkoKMJrguVkMD9BDdV", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}