{"id": 4166, "prediction_verbatim": "10Y Treasury yield will be higher (4.40+) in 48 hours as market reprices the persistence of restrictive real rates", "created_at": "2026-04-29 18:09:08", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-01 18:09:55", "chain_hash": "0d2526af68282f62e051290f731846add887872c4c186ab333b672af3f67d197", "chain_tx": "2BxZ7ZV1du6ToKrYzxhCaCj7VfyCZ5CK1LiDhRmZWZzV6YJVoAkjAc1srs3yh2KGRJfbSHEpH8CUgL5dwcyqzZ9N", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}