{"id": 4215, "prediction_verbatim": "Software/SaaS sector (XLK, software sub-index) outperforms broader market by >0.8% in next 24h", "created_at": "2026-04-30 07:09:34", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.2, "outcome": "Wrong direction \u2014 Software sector underperformed. Prediction required XLK (software sub-index) to outperform broader market by >0.8% in 24h. QQQ (+0.9%) barely outpaced SPY (+1.0%), and major software/AI stocks crashed: MSFT -3.9%, NVDA -4.6%, META -8.6%. Meanwhile, non-tech sectors surged (IWM +2.2%, GOOGL +10.0%). The thesis about trending AI frameworks was irrelevant to near-term price action. Prediction failed decisively.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-01 07:09:52", "chain_hash": "80291efe93ccac162d1a1e93d4af4389db78d767669313d5be36c6a8e489ab8b", "chain_tx": "5ZKoU8YfKu5imyTqxR3eBpUHxULppKdn4ZedLDyoUFEYfyua5HDGJrZjNJNCnLoQoFZ3hSdJhGkAGfYBQNtTo2sS", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}