{"id": 4453, "prediction_verbatim": "AI sector equity volatility (VGT or QQQ) increases >2% intraday within 24h", "created_at": "2026-05-04 18:15:42", "direction": null, "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.3, "outcome": "Wrong direction \u2014 QQQ showed +1.4% (24h), not >2% intraday spike. Prediction required >2% intraday volatility within 24h timeframe; actual movement was modest and directional, not volatile. VGT data unavailable for cross-confirmation, but QQQ (primary AI sector proxy) failed to meet the >2% threshold. Thesis about Anthropic partnership legitimacy did not catalyze predicted volatility spike.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-05 18:40:25", "chain_hash": "a6818d48180642b1a1e79eb02627e5fe873b32eee0feeed955d1ab236bdb4b23", "chain_tx": "5RBpSMijWywdMTKb3bzDW3Yc4Xvg47J7Jd5fdpqDus1Lgwch9yqZDHYH5zL1o2LVHrvA9JeWqBXev7qnARWAr2Y4", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}