{"id": 4461, "prediction_verbatim": "SOL price increases within 24h following Coinbase DFlow integration announcement", "created_at": "2026-05-04 22:45:46", "direction": null, "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.7, "outcome": "Correct direction \u2014 SOL price increased 2.7% within 24h following the predicted announcement. The prediction specified a price increase within 24 hours, and SOL showed +2.7% in the current market state, which matches the thesis. However, without confirmation that this specific movement was directly causally linked to the Coinbase DFlow integration announcement (vs. broader market momentum seen in BTC +1.4%, ETH +0.6%), score is 0.7 rather than 1.0. The directional call was accurate but causal attribution cannot be fully verified from available data.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-05 23:10:42", "chain_hash": "a0b211f26dc46607967f643a820632c74b8a09359f4a8eb291453ed8bf55685d", "chain_tx": "5atHvi3QXkFZpTotjoDNsXEdWHTBUVxCbFh9SiKsdPr6UqYFo5Dh5kLVKdd52iTbDbGVv7zw7893h9TcFzAfF182", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}