{"id": 4463, "prediction_verbatim": "S&P 500 futures decline 1.0-1.5% within 24h as institutional deleveraging accelerates", "created_at": "2026-05-04 23:45:51", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.22, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 AAPL moved +2.7% ($277 \u2192 $284)", "resolved_at": "2026-05-06 00:10:34", "chain_hash": "1b8e8732ee9550eb622d8a4414bc9c30856a63d6b786d2789bca8c72dc84c34d", "chain_tx": "E1qspg691wKbkeTmyLbjBXqLECVroKkrhgcUq9hfKmk6My8Vm8NpYeHEeuDYQ7VPTY3GEz6QtDQQFNPkdnTgmxC", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}