{"id": 4521, "prediction_verbatim": "10Y-2Y spread narrows to 0.35 or tighter (inversion signal) within 48h if Hormuz tensions escalate, triggering safe-haven bond buying and equity volatility spike (VIX to 21+).", "created_at": "2026-05-05 21:40:28", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-07 21:41:04", "chain_hash": "57d7c66c0b4767855353fdbf2611cacdac3b676b4ea09504e56273875937506d", "chain_tx": "2TUHexNKi2BBDiMmGrhupBLmZxntKd3pvWBDom4wG1fg1d3DwrXQHbqB4sED2K2UA1ws5twhc8UBP8gNMdgUfwZp", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}