{"id": 4556, "prediction_verbatim": "META, AMZN, MSTR underperform broad market (SPY) by >1% within 48h as insiders' positioning cascades to sell-side analyst downgrades", "created_at": "2026-05-06 11:40:32", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-08 11:41:20", "chain_hash": "5ffe293d188e25bd3d41d0aa1185d1e0fd79a3e4368b4fa5233b6179f3e973e3", "chain_tx": "54QQ1BGGoSkvAedLcEDjVy3RCLRArmH8wpy5rcMZxgnF7tyP8GooqemJ1npj5oof2fNLCiverqiD73srA2qF2jiH", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}