{"id": 4580, "prediction_verbatim": "QQQ outperforms SPY by >0.5% over next 24h as mega-cap tech sustains upside momentum", "created_at": "2026-05-06 20:10:42", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.3, "outcome": "Wrong direction \u2014 QQQ outperformance failed. QQQ -0.1% vs SPY -0.3% = only 0.2% outperformance, far short of predicted >0.5%. Thesis was contradicted: mega-cap tech did NOT sustain momentum. TSLA +3.3% (correct), NVDA +1.8% (contradicts +5.68% claim), but broad weakness in AMZN (-1.4%), AAPL (-0.0%), GOOGL (-0.0%) undermines the 'broad-based rally' narrative.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-07 20:11:12", "chain_hash": "e3527188981cec731b784efcdbb7c68345beaf1b5d79dc98c214950c8e1e41a2", "chain_tx": "5fU473jsZfvtTftZaKpEPMhx9pbuMeupxHScGYC65G3AhxFgsM6AKcGq8L65E92yPry8Ukvs2Fqpxzomqirqx7Cs", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}