{"id": 4614, "prediction_verbatim": "Gold spot price closes lower (or flat) within 24h relative to current intraday highs", "created_at": "2026-05-07 13:40:59", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 Gold spot price data not provided in current market state. Prediction requires gold price data to evaluate whether it closed lower/flat relative to intraday highs within 24h. Cannot assess thesis about 'fog of war lifts' narrative without gold price movement data.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-08 15:11:23", "chain_hash": "e052cc734ad2bef1e3031bc5ab895b21d8ba5e75cb8ea7f2c1f51bafdcf7e141", "chain_tx": "4a6YYtsqEuNLHhK28jPosvvto6kndCt3eB9qnBTwyGCiRPAQrgLTCARQ7AZwzT83vKzrHZK8dp66fH2tbyJPNKhe", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}