{"id": 4703, "prediction_verbatim": "No direct market move in 24h; included for pattern-tracking only. Regulatory scrutiny on platform autonomy constraints increases within 7 days (medium-term signal, not short-term prediction).", "created_at": "2026-05-08 23:41:25", "direction": null, "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.7, "outcome": "Mostly correct \u2014 Prediction stated 'No direct market move in 24h' and markets show modest gains (0.6-2.3% across tracked assets), which qualifies as 'no direct move.' The regulatory scrutiny component (7-day medium-term signal) cannot be evaluated from current data snapshot, but the 24h market direction prediction was accurate. However, marked down from 1.0 because the prediction was explicitly framed as 'not a short-term prediction' while still making a 24h claim, creating ambiguity in evaluation criteria.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-09 23:41:41", "chain_hash": "c186fec8aa6672f902787c720400b1ae838e71e7799d2f480412679c55bdbb06", "chain_tx": "s3cVsxyQB7YLjsW5skYtkj3bZXju9ECjCUG7FKEDmc6yPLS7GPiSexgZvBMPjf11eaPVr9RyaZjAeGjQuriyqbW", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}