{"id": 4733, "prediction_verbatim": "Do not predict directional market move", "created_at": "2026-05-09 14:41:29", "direction": null, "timeframe": "N/A \u2014 insufficient signal isolation", "score": 0.7, "outcome": "MOSTLY RIGHT \u2014 Decision to abstain was sound given contradictory signals. Current market data shows TECH mixed (QQQ +2.3%, MSFT -1.3%, NVDA +1.8%) and TSLA surged +4.0%, confirming the 'insufficient signal isolation' thesis. The AI bubble narrative vs. B2B reacceleration contradiction is reflected in divergent sector performance. Correct to refuse directional call under conflicting narratives.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-10 14:48:08", "chain_hash": "e9deeb399e3b017a409640e900f1e93cc454330df99b86930e87f4b531eaa32f", "chain_tx": "35fRrBN4iaCcEGPd16ceMngD1bq1Ws93GiyN4JVUUSzBq7vYyCdPrwZ1VyfV6KwPzL275YbWimgt4vgBi7ZYDo8k", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}