{"id": 4799, "prediction_verbatim": "IYH (retail/hospitality ETF) outperforms XLU (airlines/travel) by >0.4% in next 24h", "created_at": "2026-05-10 15:17:40", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "INCONCLUSIVE \u2014 Prediction required comparison of IYH (retail/hospitality ETF) vs XLU (airlines/travel ETF). No data provided for either asset in current market state. Cannot evaluate relative outperformance claim. Additionally, thesis mentions Iran war disrupting travel, which aligns with wire_news (Iran War Live Updates), but without actual ETF prices, directional accuracy cannot be determined.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-11 20:02:21", "chain_hash": "2c603a88ceabf9584d8191fd02b40e3582efe937b7491bda49fdf063f4a0b2c2", "chain_tx": "RioHC1rD7SdctWq2MRLyKon3YFDioKPQYEvPkFvB2CWp9f8Mi7e85ZTh6ZSmiJYxvgbLU1TXhXY4k9HwvEX7NT3", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}