{"id": 4859, "prediction_verbatim": "META will remain down relative to SPY over the next 24h as biotech rotation persists", "created_at": "2026-05-11 12:25:48", "direction": null, "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.3, "outcome": "Partially correct direction but weak execution \u2014 META did underperform SPY (META -1.8% vs SPY +0.2%, a -2.0% gap). However, the thesis reasoning appears flawed: TSLA actually outperformed at +3.9%, contradicting the biotech rotation narrative. The prediction was directionally right but for potentially wrong reasons.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-12 12:32:31", "chain_hash": "d27e7b48f98340341539f01ee4ae90ba51de723b974e50c45117c01c8be1afd9", "chain_tx": "41bJGRZwbhXdZJpY4dk34Azxmh1rTVZaZip47YN85r2BABvyTquc4DaaeezrN1d5BRHUmBmWXbKBmuF45WXnoVh7", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}