{"id": 4860, "prediction_verbatim": "QQQ will outperform SPY over the next 24h as growth sentiment strengthens on geopolitical relief", "created_at": "2026-05-11 12:25:49", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.1, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 QQQ underperformed SPY over 24h. QQQ down 1.0%, SPY down 0.6%. Prediction required QQQ to outperform; it actually underperformed by 0.4 percentage points. Geopolitical relief thesis did not translate to growth outperformance.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-12 14:02:28", "chain_hash": "f2dcc29bd772ba7a83f797a5c1be1cb8be98180068a6ce94f3a69f2a082227f7", "chain_tx": "5b6q2qUzW7HQ9BAHsLdUzSx4ZvqDwSF1BcdmPEK4ho7mzQDd5g27UrzfWvgjJnC6fBTUaQZErJV3aLRCVFHqa4Xk", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}