{"id": 4870, "prediction_verbatim": "NVDA outperforms MSFT by >1.5% over next 24h", "created_at": "2026-05-11 15:56:06", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 Completely wrong. Prediction: NVDA outperforms MSFT by >1.5% over 24h. Actual: NVDA -0.6%, MSFT -0.9%. NVDA underperformed MSFT by 0.3% (MSFT was better). Thesis predicted bifurcated rally with NVDA +3.16% and MSFT -1.17%, but reality showed both negative with MSFT relatively outperforming. Opposite of prediction.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-12 17:32:49", "chain_hash": "85c42f8dff438826e79c2169150aa674a5e17c51b584de86ae8919c63d3a0256", "chain_tx": "2teZgShkfNAykHhmPxgAt5eKcpxw6VW2VoXvdtpkedgdCepsCuegSP3YdeSFb7bkB3mLkjvYHCyPpHpJasmKg7sc", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}