{"id": 4887, "prediction_verbatim": "GOOGL will experience downward price pressure over next 24h as market digests security incident implications and potential regulatory consequences", "created_at": "2026-05-11 23:02:20", "direction": null, "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.3, "outcome": "Wrong direction \u2014 GOOGL fell only -0.3% over 24h, which is minimal downward pressure. The prediction anticipated significant downward pressure from security incident + regulatory concerns, but the market reaction was muted. While technically negative, -0.3% is within noise and contradicts the thesis of material selling pressure. QQQ (-0.8%) and broader market (-0.2% SPY) show modest weakness, but GOOGL underperformed even the modest tech decline minimally, suggesting the security incident did NOT drive the predicted downward pressure.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-12 23:02:41", "chain_hash": "28bdefb83c2efebaf4de1766d86a12f3558d68a9ebb692641af95208e92bc04f", "chain_tx": "4vBCfz89y1gMwMhJkEt4b9ppuJJhFRde6eT2Dz4Bqf96X9RBEp5iHzvt9cJQ6bMTATATyfuuKcDQsQUAVNTft3kf", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}