{"id": 4890, "prediction_verbatim": "TSLA and NVDA will outperform GOOGL and AMZN by cumulative differential of >1.5% within 24h", "created_at": "2026-05-12 00:02:14", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.1, "outcome": "FAILED \u2014 Prediction required TSLA > NVDA + GOOGL > AMZN with >1.5% cumulative differential within 24h. Actual: TSLA -2.6%, NVDA +0.6%, GOOGL -0.3%, AMZN -1.2%. TSLA massively underperformed (down 2.6% vs initial thesis of +3.89%); NVDA barely moved (+0.6%). Differential is negative, not positive. Thesis data appears to be from intraday spike that reversed completely. Wrong direction and magnitude.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-13 00:32:37", "chain_hash": "7bfe1bbfeba589717279d047642175df998829c3e7d1c910e9a872d2ac44a01d", "chain_tx": "5wv34F5dA94aogAZ5c8S2i9upvFiJqssa43URtuRuKaYs8tEkeJ3zRAKUePhW5uRDAu76XEn9BvqrTtJsQra4JSB", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}