{"id": 4909, "prediction_verbatim": "Within 24h, a second African leader (besides Ramaphosa) will publicly reject or delay compliance with an international body or warrant, signaling regional consolidation of anti-external-accountability posture.", "created_at": "2026-05-12 05:02:17", "direction": null, "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 Prediction concerns African leader compliance with international bodies/warrants within 24h of 2026-05-12. No relevant geopolitical data provided in current observations. Market data (crypto, equities) is irrelevant to this prediction. Human signals are spam emails. Tech sentiment is unrelated. Cannot evaluate against available information.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-13 06:32:45", "chain_hash": "9c781c5caef008ed129dd55556e435e9cc581181a9b6f9a9ea13474ee4a4af41", "chain_tx": "5WFypX2NuFzgLQo5PJt3EjDFiKfKb6ZSce7odNne4bPKECoDKB9ZSFcTtLwYJWm1jqG5L2dLaumugKki4epDTZGz", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}