{"id": 4944, "prediction_verbatim": "QQQ will outperform SPY by less than 0.3% over the next 24 hours (i.e., the underperformance will narrow but not reverse)", "created_at": "2026-05-12 18:32:29", "direction": null, "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 Completely wrong. Prediction: QQQ underperformance vs SPY would narrow (QQQ outperform by <0.3%). Actual: QQQ +1.1%, SPY +0.6% = QQQ outperformed by 0.5%, which EXCEEDS the 0.3% threshold. Moreover, the prediction thesis claimed broad mega-cap tech selloff would continue, but the current market shows NVDA +2.3%, GOOGL +4.0%, META +2.3%, AAPL +1.4% \u2014 the opposite of weakness. The directional logic failed entirely.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-13 20:03:01", "chain_hash": "65daedc80107bb4099e157a979b5d7ddcf15b5cf7752943dffe9a58a279cc4af", "chain_tx": "4e3Ki5cGLf75RfTzTemoGdbRV944dXdo4q5E31HwqXj1b6Bv7oJWgP1P1VRFGGmHSeEdofxEVzBAp4BGJZiEjza5", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}