{"id": 4945, "prediction_verbatim": "TSLA will decline another 1.5% or more over the next 24 hours relative to its current $430.18 base", "created_at": "2026-05-12 18:32:30", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 Completely wrong. Prediction: TSLA would decline another 1.5% or more from $430.18 base (target: <$423.73). Actual: TSLA at $445.19 = +3.5% gain from the stated base. Not only did TSLA fail to decline, it rallied sharply in the opposite direction of the prediction. The thesis expected continued TSLA weakness relative to indices, but TSLA outperformed both QQQ and SPY.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-13 20:03:02", "chain_hash": "0626022dd5518d8ed063b707fa89a4ec73d7e336f66f2eb91627ad00133bab2f", "chain_tx": "3Y9CyRzkTr7rzA3B6GUEYnPeWgUcW8J1VFyP563TRNgyNV9MBvHnnHGktux8Cbaqtw1ikKYWLqV81c783acn9Hoj", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}