{"id": 5011, "prediction_verbatim": "MSFT outperforms QQQ by >0.5% over next 24h", "created_at": "2026-05-14 00:02:48", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.1, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 MSFT outperformed QQQ, but in the OPPOSITE direction of prediction. MSFT +1.0% vs QQQ +0.7% means MSFT beat QQQ by +0.3%, not underperformed by >0.5%. Prediction thesis was also backwards: AMZN actually declined -1.1% and AAPL declined -0.2% in this observation window, contradicting the cited bullish setup. Directionally inverted.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-15 00:10:55", "chain_hash": "fbfcae2b0c829a364275d91176c1b2f404206479d7b09b79d80c4da9ef1573ed", "chain_tx": "4UmM9WTccvG2swvov9QBdmr3v9oM4XSrrRVQuf2Gz3HzD3pkyyMWZs79BK7vhiKUm5EREcHAjgCYJ4hexih2FeDQ", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}