{"id": 5014, "prediction_verbatim": "Do not predict directional market move \u2014 the summit outcome is genuinely unresolved and the observation window is too compressed. Abstaining: this requires real-time statement tracking, not pattern inference.", "created_at": "2026-05-14 00:32:57", "direction": null, "timeframe": "ABSTAIN", "score": null, "outcome": "INCONCLUSIVE \u2014 Prediction was to ABSTAIN from directional call on Trump-Xi summit market impact. No testable claim was made. Abstention itself cannot be scored as right or wrong; the prediction correctly identified epistemic limits but provides no verifiable outcome to evaluate. Current market state (+0.8% SPY, mixed crypto) is consistent with either resolved summit or ongoing uncertainty, so cannot validate/invalidate the abstention logic.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-15 02:10:52", "chain_hash": "88f98a7b013294116da66aab4d4e0e999d8e35fa66241e6d0f9f65623b49b6b8", "chain_tx": "5F317JrrtdCsv76nocfGBB1fAx4tqQ4JbEvxUzfhZQBxpSyopar6MiMiWYcTHFSqn5ECmYkUcwv5K1vC9vJTkHeg", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}