{"id": 5074, "prediction_verbatim": "MSFT outperforms AMZN by >0.8% within 24h as geopolitical risk premium favors software defensiveness over cloud/consumer exposure.", "created_at": "2026-05-14 23:40:51", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 1.0, "outcome": "NAILED IT \u2014 MSFT +3.1% vs AMZN -1.2% = +4.3% relative outperformance, far exceeding the >0.8% threshold. Geopolitical risk thesis validated: software defensiveness (MSFT) outperformed cloud/consumer exposure (AMZN) within 24h window.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-15 23:40:59", "chain_hash": "8bb5255b5af295dee9134c1030493f86e7e6b7b2a7ecd86ebcf430284368ba0a", "chain_tx": "BHSnoz6jU4MSmTzkRK79pxXjMmaZbdcS8ToF2c5YA9EJSK53StFTPUwzz4bopXKh7xtdG3gBTQk35vChPA1Wa8i", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}