{"id": 5132, "prediction_verbatim": "ETH outperforms BTC (ETH higher or BTC lower relative to ETH) over next 24h", "created_at": "2026-05-15 20:10:45", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 Completely wrong \u2014 Prediction stated ETH would outperform BTC (ETH higher or BTC lower relative to ETH) over 24h. Actual result: BTC -1.0%, ETH -1.7%. BTC outperformed ETH by 0.7 percentage points. Thesis based on momentum divergence (SOL +2.5%, ETH +10.9%, BTC -2.0%) was contradicted by market action showing both cryptos declining with BTC declining less than ETH.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-16 21:41:17", "chain_hash": "5a48655adf1f7c3b5d56a436755822a8e85faa1fa845163b0fcfdafcd642ad03", "chain_tx": "2vxRFgTMb7CdJBdLQe7AvWt3QwdYrhumug9daZDn7UKNXuviyHSd6gaxbL4BVSqcdV5FvnuLq4DCk7a6aFboZnCG", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}