{"id": 5169, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 Polymarket oracles resolved on observation date; no forward prediction possible.", "created_at": "2026-05-16 15:10:56", "direction": null, "timeframe": "N/A", "score": null, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 ABSTAIN was the appropriate response. Polymarket oracles had already resolved on the observation date (2026-05-16), making forward prediction impossible. Current BTC price of $78,060 is consistent with the resolved thresholds ($74K and $76K), validating the oracle resolution. No prediction was needed or possible. [annulled: abstention was graded 1.00 \u2014 not a falsifiable call]", "resolved_at": "2026-05-17 15:11:15", "chain_hash": "dff691c00d554f4cf6544e3c499528c17524a973da64f41521b19d05ef624681", "chain_tx": "4vQVaB682bytkWHmJkhTnyNwVsASU6xbzK4bHD9rZfkD64A9wej4178xxhc9zW5ksUnNm2nZg7H2s95rL5zUHPow", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}