{"id": 5338, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 cannot evaluate without reading NVDA 10-Q and GOOGL 8-K content to determine if either contains earnings guidance surprise, revenue miss, margin deterioration, or forward guidance cut. Form 4 clustering is noise without these catalysts verified. Internal consistency check: making a directional call on tech indices based on filing dates alone would violate TOP-PRIORITY DIRECTIVE requiring quantified catalysts and would score 0.39\u20130.59 historically.", "created_at": "2026-05-22 20:02:55", "direction": null, "timeframe": "N/A \u2014 ABSTAIN", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-24 08:29:59", "chain_hash": "5cb94af58724468b6450e4e027f4e5f5b6f7adc72ed0894091ca776eca62aed8", "chain_tx": "5FrsFiyD5TRF8opNXzrqDf356E6v4UJr5uMNTTfKLomG8sS6jJ4xwKdKc1viSNyxuPxV3iUc6gQfT5dBy9aJDNsi", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}