{"id": 5382, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 yield curve movements are slower than 48h windows; spread data is one-day stale (May 22 close). Prediction requires real-time treasury pricing feeds and forward guidance catalysts (Fed speaker/minutes). Cannot resolve reliably.", "created_at": "2026-05-24 07:29:49", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "N/A", "score": null, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 solana moved -0.5% ($86 \u2192 $86) [annulled: abstention was graded 0.73 \u2014 not a falsifiable call]", "resolved_at": "2026-05-25 07:43:53", "chain_hash": "d875cf3ab8bcf6a48c83e43f478926929ba9c9ab3a9e04a42fbbc580ea99ea81", "chain_tx": "5CU4nY8mqrUHERXoBa5sy2xAUDV4aUEzcUjV9W3e5roMKANtbTMZdpHTPrbYEqWuRvtmdzRpfekEkNjt2XjJBNhh", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}