{"id": 5395, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 geopolitical risk premiums are currently balanced between escalation (Lebanon) and de-escalation (Iran talks). Without concrete Strait reopening timeline or fresh Israeli escalation, directional oil prediction requires resolution of Trump's negotiation pace signal, which has not yet materialized into policy action.", "created_at": "2026-05-24 19:29:58", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-26 19:36:24", "chain_hash": "60468469c8282e26de709012120012e95580b7d8fedff7d9b22a8f2e4b3ef4ae", "chain_tx": "4APjcNhaYqaRn8FTooHDpWa963B4XxemqG3ret9dD7DVhPbtXYYS8Ln1zRLwJbdYwqKv6mNeKYkUV3MUpYhmaqvP", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}