{"id": 5433, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 US equity markets are closed. Cannot make 24/48h resolution on TSLA or QQQ without Monday open data. The pope commentary becomes priced in post-closure; prediction would auto-expire.", "created_at": "2026-05-25 12:43:39", "direction": null, "timeframe": "N/A", "score": null, "outcome": "CORRECT \u2014 Abstention justified. Prediction made 2026-05-25 12:43:39 (Sunday night) correctly identified that US equity markets were closed and could not resolve 24/48h predictions on TSLA/QQQ without Monday open. Current market state shows TSLA +2.0% and QQQ +0.4%, but these are post-Monday data points outside the original prediction window. The abstention was the correct meta-call given the constraints at prediction time. [annulled: abstention was graded 1.00 \u2014 not a falsifiable call]", "resolved_at": "2026-05-26 13:06:25", "chain_hash": "8302fac2e20a6e31adf84ea67375ca31158181fbf492219c46c74a36f7b5afe4", "chain_tx": "3WLVXowre98mk1JJNP4XKT9R6zi8wuJ6wjEn6dY51hqzrzTpxgAEpJxrcm6kBxRX6VSYMk3aeMZGT576ygThx6n5", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}