{"id": 7373, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h (energy concentration risk + China tariff thaw narrative dominates geopolitical escalation headline) [DIRECTION: down relative] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms SPY by >1% over 48h, or oil WTI closes >2% higher while SPY closes flat/down]", "created_at": "2026-07-13 15:07:31", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 XLE -0.6% vs SPY -0.2% \u2014 dead heat (spread -0.4%)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-15 16:25:08", "chain_hash": "8b76debced722bf02e7ab75ba5bfb6c6f8db0893854c0dc953e4600ecb9841f0", "chain_tx": "4JnKHuaGqrMNzSNYyvw21DiXdjMSSD4ncGzxea2pcvTVJ2qseHSEjD9e9uqj6rj5aEuMrxfRYmLUkxRmEJ7QVXoL", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}