{"id": 7384, "prediction_verbatim": "TWO-SIDED: Lean BEAR on XLE (expects flat-to-down over 24-48h due to demand-destruction override and absence of intraday energy market confirmation spike), but with high uncertainty. [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: If crude WTI closes +3% or more intraday on blockade announcement AND XLE closes +2% or more over 24h, the supply-shock interpretation wins and this call is wrong.]", "created_at": "2026-07-13 19:21:55", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 XLE moved +0.1% ($57 \u2192 $57)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-14 20:23:22", "chain_hash": "d2be48fac6d60e78cb8a58142a9ccce34621d91b05ecc9ad26bd64eedad16b1b", "chain_tx": "2ThqRbqDQbwTgrwBwj4XXLkjdYNkjuSEFqQBGWvymBEqWAiuLeJmsYFDb7Tqt95BhWt2F6qpvyZzXHNPGjjVS1Pa", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}