{"id": 7393, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: SPY matches or outperforms XLE over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-13 22:22:05", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.26, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE -0.4% vs SPY +0.8% \u2014 XLE trailed SPY by 1.2%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-15 22:25:38", "chain_hash": "2959f7b6cd38ca83e0a313ed14a15e72ea1b67672f2dd63ed59b020dbfddad8d", "chain_tx": "2M554LmujUM9zRFH3E1c5kLagLLSXSMRodFJkcPwkzPRNYJcqG6gmTezUJR6ZcFE2TDtdbDVkNGa3zQv1rhwnsQe", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}